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Y2K:
Everybodys' problem or is it?
The Y2K
problem, have you heard about it? Will it affect you?
First the
Y2K problem refers to a problem many computers and embedded devices will
have recognizing the year 2000. It is a result of expensive data storage
in the past. Electronic data storage presently is very cheap and prices
continually fall. Not that long ago storing data was more expensive.It
was common for programmers to write programs that only used the last
two digits of the year to represent the year, thus eliminating the necessity
to store two more numbers.. It was assumed the first two digits were
19_ _. Even of our paper forms use this system.
Well now
this is coming back to haunt us. As the year 2000 rolls around all those
programs will think that we are in the year 1900. So for instance if
you were receiving benefit checks for retirement that started in 1990,
a foul program may all of sudden think that you haven't even been born
or started to work yet thus stopping your payments. Or if a piece of machinery
has an embedded device that determines a maintenance schedule it may
shut down not knowing if it has even been built yet.
The Good
News: Many of the important systems in our infrastructures have been checked
and fixed. Most banks probably fixed there problems in 1970 because they
darn well wanted to make sure they got paid through out the life of a
30 year mortgage. Many of the mass problems that do arise should be short
lived and repaired quickly. Although there are doomsayers, I do not foresee
mass anarchy and the fall of mankind.
The Bad
New: There will be problems, probably power outages and other inconveniences.
There will be far more problems that affect fewer groups of people. This
is because many small and midsize organizations have not addressed the
issue. Many companies are totally unaware that they have equipment and
systems that can contain these Y2K bugs. Printers, data storage and files
systems, large and small machinery, building systems such as elevators,
etc are all areas that may cause problems. Few catastrophic but many that
are large enough to put companies out of business temporarily or permanently.
Note: Many
insurance companies are already stated they will not cover Y2K issues.
What can
you do? It may be to late to eliminate all risk.You should hire IT professionals
to at least overview your business process to flag problem areas. Then
assess the risks and fix the issues that are important to your core survival.
It may be an opportune time to dump your legacy systems and install complete
new systems and processes based on current technologies. It will be important
to take a hard look at your support companies. If your business relies
heavily on certain other companies, their problems can quickly become
yours. Contact them and get insight into how they have addressed the issue
and assess your dependence on them.
Can your
company afford to be "down for a week , a month ? If a supplier is
down for a week , a month, will it affect you substantially? Do you have
personnel or a company that will be able to come in and solve problems
if they arise in January 2000? (I expect there will be a shortage of
qualified personnel at the beginning of the year 2000.)
I
suggest you make plans, try to solve glaring problems, and have a backup
plan. It may be a small blip or a major bombshell. Be prepared!
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